by Tyler Durden
Kirk Haines, meteorologist at BAMWX, Thursday’s agriculture bulletin outlining “continued rainfall” in some parts of the southwest but “increasing drought” in the north.
Haines focuses on the Corn Belt, which extends into the Midwest. He said, “Expand the drought to a critical time of the year before pollination.” This means that persistent drought conditions can affect the success of pollination – and if pollination is not successful this year due to drought and water shortages, this season’s harvest yields could come under pressure.
“Precipitation shortfalls persist across much of the major U.S. corn-producing regions in the Midwest and Northern Plains this year, with droughts continuing at a crucial time of year before pollination as well. Weather models have been choppy recently as to how much of these key production areas will receive precipitation in time, but the trend recently has been to push past forecasts of widespread nutrient rain southward which is beginning to be a growing concern (plus more heat buildup again in Haines’ books From the middle of the month to the end of the month.
Here’s what happens to corn if pollination doesn’t work.
Here is the US Drought Monitor, which shows that most of the western US is in some form of drought.
Some rain relief was seen in the week ending June 6, but deteriorating conditions persisted in the Corn Belt (or Midwest region).
During the four weeks ending June 6, rain increased in western Texas and eastern New Mexico but widened droughts in the corn belt.
Over the past two months ending June 6, significant increases in precipitation have been seen from Texas to New Mexico to Colorado. However, most of the corn belt continues to suffer from worsening droughts.
Although conditions have improved in the southwest, the corn belt remains in a dry state most of the time A critical time of the year for corn development. If pollination becomes a problem, crops across the corn belt may be affected. This means that corn prices will remain high.